Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 4.20 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCuiaba to win ✗42% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.04
Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cuiaba welcome Atletico Goianiense to Arena Pantanal for a Serie B fixture on Friday 24 July (00:30 WAT). In the table, Cuiaba are 13th, lower half, on 47 points after 37 matches; Atletico Goianiense are 8th (upper half) with 58.
Current form
Cuiaba, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juventude, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Athletic Club, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Cuiaba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cuiaba 1.1 xG, Atletico Goianiense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cuiaba 42%, draw 29%, Atletico Goianiense 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Atletico Goianiense to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuiaba 1–0 Atletico Goianiense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cuiaba42%fair 2.41 · @1.96
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
Atletico Goianiense29%fair 3.42 · @4.20
1.98Expected goals
1.06Cuiaba xG
0.92Atletico Goianiense xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.1 – 0.9 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
Attack vs Serie B average
-17%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.93
0.93
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Atletico Goianiense 29%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–0 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
