Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Ponte Preta v São Bernardo in the Serie B, played at Moisés Lucarelli. In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; São Bernardo are 11th (lower half) with 52. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ponte Preta, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to America Mineiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
São Bernardo, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Goias, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours São Bernardo, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Ponte Preta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.6 xG, São Bernardo 2.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 8%, draw 19%, São Bernardo 72%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was São Bernardo to win (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–2 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte Preta8%fair 11.82 · @9.00
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @4.50
São Bernardo72%fair 1.38 · @1.33
2.62Expected goals
0.56Ponte Preta xG
2.06São Bernardo xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–215%
0–115%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.6 – 2.1 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Double chance
São Bernardo or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
São Bernardo (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
São Bernardo -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
São Bernardo to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
São Bernardo ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Ponte Preta – last 6
LLLDLD
30 Aug
@ America Mineiro
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Avai
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Vila Nova
0–6
L
14 Aug
vs Nautico Recife
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Ceara
0–2
L
28 Jul
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
LDDLWL
28 Aug
@ Goias
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Nautico Recife
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Operario-PR
3–1
W
26 Jul
vs Ceara
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is São Bernardo to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 19% and São Bernardo 72%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–2 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
