Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: CRB to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCRB to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceCRB or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.35
CRB vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Recife travel to face CRB on Wednesday 16 September in the Serie B, with Estádio Rei Pelé the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, CRB are 6th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Sport Recife are 9th (upper half) with 55. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
CRB, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Operario-PR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sport Recife, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ponte Preta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Sport Recife 1–2 CRB.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CRB 1.8 xG, Sport Recife 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CRB 60%, draw 24%, Sport Recife 16%.
Lower-risk option: CRB or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: CRB to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CRB or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CRB 1–0 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CRB60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Sport Recife16%fair 6.14 · @3.80
2.61Expected goals
1.79CRB xG
0.82Sport Recife xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: CRB 1.8 – 0.8 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is CRB or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CRB vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers CRB have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Recife 16%.
How many goals will there be in CRB vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CRB vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is CRB 1–0 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CRB vs Sport Recife?
CRB vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Rei Pelé.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
