Value bet: Nautico Recife to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCuiaba to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.05
Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nautico Recife travel to face Cuiaba on Tuesday 22 September in the Serie B, with Arena Pantanal the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Cuiaba are 13th, lower half, on 47 points after 37 matches; Nautico Recife are 15th (lower half) with 46. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cuiaba, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Novorizontino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Nautico Recife, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Operario-PR, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Nautico Recife 1–0 Cuiaba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cuiaba 1.1 xG, Nautico Recife 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cuiaba 43%, draw 24%, Nautico Recife 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Nautico Recife to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuiaba 1–1 Nautico Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cuiaba43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Nautico Recife33%fair 3.05 · @3.80
2.09Expected goals
1.15Cuiaba xG
0.94Nautico Recife xG
55%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.1 – 0.9 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nautico Recife 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife?
Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–1 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife?
Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
