Vila Nova vs America Mineiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vila Nova welcome America Mineiro to Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga for a Serie B fixture on Friday 18 September (23:30 WAT). In the table, Vila Nova are 3rd, among the top four, on 66 points after 37 matches; America Mineiro are 19th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vila Nova, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Avai, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
America Mineiro, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to São Bernardo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Vila Nova, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for America Mineiro.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended America Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vila Nova 1.9 xG, America Mineiro 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Nova 70%, draw 18%, America Mineiro 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vila Nova to win (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Nova 1–0 America Mineiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vila Nova70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.00
America Mineiro12%fair 8.68 · @7.50
2.50Expected goals
1.91Vila Nova xG
0.59America Mineiro xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.9 – 0.6 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Vila Nova to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and America Mineiro 12%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
Vila Nova vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
