Value bet: America Mineiro to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventude to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.82
America Mineiro vs Juventude: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Monday 28 September: America Mineiro v Juventude in the Serie B, played at Arena Independência. In the table, America Mineiro are 19th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 37 matches; Juventude are 2nd (among the top four) with 68. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
America Mineiro, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vila Nova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Juventude, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sport Recife, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Juventude 3–0 America Mineiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 0.9 xG, Juventude 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 32%, draw 23%, Juventude 45%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: America Mineiro to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 0–1 Juventude. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro32%fair 3.14 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Juventude45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
2.07Expected goals
0.91America Mineiro xG
1.16Juventude xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 0.9 – 1.2 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Juventude?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Juventude?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juventude 45%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 0–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Juventude?
America Mineiro vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
