Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceBotafogo SP or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the Serie B brings Botafogo SP against Ponte Preta at Estadio Santa Cruz. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Botafogo SP are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Botafogo SP, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Athletic Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ponte Preta, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CRB, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Jun 2026) it ended Ponte Preta 0–0 Botafogo SP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo SP 1.8 xG, Ponte Preta 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo SP 67%, draw 17%, Ponte Preta 16%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botafogo SP to win (67%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo SP 1–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo SP67%fair 1.49 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @5.00
Ponte Preta16%fair 6.33 · @13.00
2.53Expected goals
1.84Botafogo SP xG
0.69Ponte Preta xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.8 – 0.7 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Botafogo SP to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ponte Preta 16%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
