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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Novorizontino v Goias: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase
3–0
FT

Goias

LWWLL
Novorizontino 62%Draw 21%Goias 18% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.72
62%
Betarazi pick

Novorizontino to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultNovorizontino to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92

Novorizontino vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Friday 2 October: Novorizontino v Goias in the Serie B, played at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase. In the table, Novorizontino are 1st, leading the league, on 70 points after 37 matches; Goias are 7th (upper half) with 58. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Novorizontino, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with São Bernardo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Goias, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Goianiense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jun 2026) it ended Goias 0–4 Novorizontino.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 1.7 xG, Goias 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 62%, draw 21%, Goias 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Novorizontino to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 1–0 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Novorizontino62%fair 1.63 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.90
Goias18%fair 5.65 · @6.00
2.37Expected goals
1.65Novorizontino xG
0.72Goias xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.7 – 0.7 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovorizontino to win ✓62%1.631.44
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓82%1.221.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.95
Draw no betNovorizontino (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapGoias +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreNovorizontino to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✓37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.92–

Recent results

Novorizontino – last 6

DLDWWW
25 Sepvs São Bernardo0–0D
19 Sep@ Ceara1–2L
13 Sepvs Cuiaba1–1D
9 Sep@ Botafogo SP3–1W
5 Sepvs Avai3–1W
29 Augvs Sport Recife2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Goias – last 6

LWWLLW
26 Sepvs Atletico Goianiense0–1L
20 Sepvs Avai2–1W
14 Sep@ Botafogo SP3–1W
10 Sep@ Vila Nova0–2L
5 Sepvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
28 Augvs São Bernardo2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jun 2026Goias v Novorizontino0–4
Novorizontino vs Goias head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Goias?

Our pick is Novorizontino to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Novorizontino vs Goias?

On our numbers Novorizontino have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Goias 18%.

How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Goias?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Goias?

Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Novorizontino vs Goias?

Novorizontino vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.