Sport Recife vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Recife welcome São Bernardo to Ilha do Retiro for a Serie B fixture on Tuesday 6 October (23:30 WAT). In the table, Sport Recife are 9th, upper half, on 55 points after 37 matches; São Bernardo are 11th (lower half) with 52. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sport Recife, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Athletic Club, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
São Bernardo, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over CRB, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours São Bernardo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Sport Recife.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended São Bernardo 0–0 Sport Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.6 xG, São Bernardo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 56%, draw 21%, São Bernardo 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–1 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife56%fair 1.80 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.30
São Bernardo23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
2.42Expected goals
1.55Sport Recife xG
0.87São Bernardo xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.6 – 0.9 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and São Bernardo 23%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
Sport Recife vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Ilha do Retiro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
