Value bet: Ceara to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.92
Botafogo SP vs Ceara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Botafogo SP v Ceara in the Serie B, played at Estadio Santa Cruz. In the table, Botafogo SP are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 37 matches; Ceara are 16th (lower half) with 43.
Current form
Botafogo SP, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Operario-PR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ceara, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Criciuma, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ceara, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Botafogo SP.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Ceara 0–1 Botafogo SP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo SP 1.2 xG, Ceara 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo SP 38%, draw 25%, Ceara 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Ceara to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo SP 1–1 Ceara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo SP38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Ceara37%fair 2.71 · @3.25
2.31Expected goals
1.17Botafogo SP xG
1.14Ceara xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.2 – 1.1 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Ceara?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ceara 37%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–1 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Ceara?
Botafogo SP vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
