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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Goias v Nautico Recife: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estádio da Serrinha

Goias

WWLLW
0–0
FT
Goias 60%Draw 20%Nautico Recife 20% Expected goals 1.59 – 0.76
80%
Betarazi pick

Goias or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultGoias to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60

Goias vs Nautico Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nautico Recife travel to face Goias on Monday 19 October in the Serie B, with Estádio da Serrinha the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Nautico Recife are 15th (lower half) with 46. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Goias, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Operario-PR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Nautico Recife, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vila Nova, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Goias, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Nautico Recife.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Nautico Recife 0–1 Goias.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.6 xG, Nautico Recife 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 60%, draw 20%, Nautico Recife 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Goias or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Goias or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–0 Nautico Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Goias60%fair 1.68 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.40
Nautico Recife20%fair 4.97 · @4.50
2.35Expected goals
1.59Goias xG
0.76Nautico Recife xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Goias 1.6 – 0.8 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGoias to win ✗60%1.681.73
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.85
Draw no betGoias (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapNautico Recife +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreGoias to score first ✗61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Goias / FT Goias ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.60–

Recent results

Goias – last 6

WWLLWW
11 Oct@ Operario-PR2–0W
7 Octvs Athletic Club2–1W
2 Oct@ Novorizontino0–3L
26 Sepvs Atletico Goianiense0–1L
20 Sepvs Avai2–1W
14 Sep@ Botafogo SP3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nautico Recife – last 6

LLDWLD
11 Octvs Vila Nova0–2L
8 Octvs Novorizontino0–2L
3 Oct@ Fortaleza EC1–1D
26 Sepvs Sport Recife3–1W
22 Sep@ Cuiaba0–3L
15 Sepvs Operario-PR3–3D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Nautico Recife v Goias0–1
Goias vs Nautico Recife head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Goias vs Nautico Recife?

Our pick is Goias or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Goias vs Nautico Recife?

On our numbers Goias have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nautico Recife 20%.

How many goals will there be in Goias vs Nautico Recife?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Goias vs Nautico Recife?

Our predicted score is Goias 1–0 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Goias vs Nautico Recife?

Goias vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.