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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

America Mineiro v Cuiaba: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Arena Independência
1–0
FT

Cuiaba

LLDWL
America Mineiro 29%Draw 23%Cuiaba 49% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.19
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultCuiaba to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.16

America Mineiro vs Cuiaba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 26 October the Serie B brings America Mineiro against Cuiaba at Arena Independência. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, America Mineiro are 19th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 37 matches; Cuiaba are 13th (lower half) with 47. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

America Mineiro, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Operario-PR, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Cuiaba, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Londrina, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cuiaba, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for America Mineiro.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Cuiaba 1–0 America Mineiro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 0.8 xG, Cuiaba 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 29%, draw 23%, Cuiaba 49%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 0–1 Cuiaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

America Mineiro29%fair 3.50 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Cuiaba49%fair 2.06 · @2.05
1.99Expected goals
0.80America Mineiro xG
1.19Cuiaba xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: America Mineiro 0.8 – 1.2 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCuiaba to win ✗49%2.062.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.871.83
Draw no betCuiaba (draw no bet) ✗63%1.59–
Asian handicapAmerica Mineiro +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreCuiaba to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba ✗26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.16–

Recent results

America Mineiro – last 6

WLLLLL
17 Octvs Operario-PR1–0W
12 Oct@ Criciuma0–1L
8 Octvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
3 Oct@ Atletico Goianiense0–2L
28 Sepvs Juventude0–1L
18 Sep@ Vila Nova0–1L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Cuiaba – last 6

LLDWLW
20 Oct@ Londrina0–1L
11 Octvs Avai0–1L
8 Oct@ Vila Nova0–0D
3 Octvs Ponte Preta2–0W
27 Sep@ CRB0–3L
22 Sepvs Nautico Recife3–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Cuiaba v America Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

On our numbers America Mineiro have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cuiaba 49%.

How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

Our predicted score is America Mineiro 0–1 Cuiaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

America Mineiro vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.