Value bet: Goias to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCeara to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Ceara vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Ceara v Goias in the Serie B, played at Estadio Castelão. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; Goias are 7th (upper half) with 58. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ceara, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Juventude, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Goias, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nautico Recife, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Goias 2–0 Ceara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.2 xG, Goias 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 44%, draw 23%, Goias 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Goias to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–1 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceara44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Goias33%fair 3.04 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.23Ceara xG
1.02Goias xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.2 – 1.0 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ceara vs Goias?
On our numbers Ceara have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Goias 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Goias?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Goias?
Ceara vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
