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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventude v Nautico Recife: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
4–0
FT
Juventude 62%Draw 24%Nautico Recife 14% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.57
62%
Betarazi pick

Juventude to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventude to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.40

Juventude vs Nautico Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juventude welcome Nautico Recife to Estádio Alfredo Jaconi for a Serie B fixture on Tuesday 27 October (00:30 WAT). In the table, Juventude are 2nd, among the top four, on 68 points after 37 matches; Nautico Recife are 15th (lower half) with 46. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juventude, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ceara, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nautico Recife, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Goias, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Juventude, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Nautico Recife.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jul 2026) it ended Nautico Recife 0–0 Juventude.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.6 xG, Nautico Recife 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 62%, draw 24%, Nautico Recife 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Juventude to win (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 1–0 Nautico Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventude62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.90
Nautico Recife14%fair 7.13 · @6.00
2.13Expected goals
1.56Juventude xG
0.57Nautico Recife xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Juventude 1.6 – 0.6 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventude to win ✓62%1.611.50
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.80
Draw no betJuventude (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapJuventude -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreJuventude to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventude / FT Juventude ✓38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.40–

Recent results

Juventude – last 6

DDWWWL
17 Oct@ Ceara2–2D
11 Octvs São Bernardo2–2D
7 Oct@ Ponte Preta2–0W
3 Octvs Operario-PR3–0W
28 Sep@ America Mineiro1–0W
19 Sep@ Sport Recife1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nautico Recife – last 6

DLLDWL
19 Oct@ Goias0–0D
11 Octvs Vila Nova0–2L
8 Octvs Novorizontino0–2L
3 Oct@ Fortaleza EC1–1D
26 Sepvs Sport Recife3–1W
22 Sep@ Cuiaba0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jul 2026Nautico Recife v Juventude0–0
Juventude vs Nautico Recife head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventude vs Nautico Recife?

Our pick is Juventude to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Juventude vs Nautico Recife?

On our numbers Juventude have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nautico Recife 14%.

How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Nautico Recife?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Nautico Recife?

Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Juventude vs Nautico Recife?

Juventude vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.