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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Criciuma v Ponte Preta: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Heriberto Hülse
2–0
FT
Criciuma 74%Draw 15%Ponte Preta 11% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.46
55%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultCriciuma to win ✓74% · @1.08
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.48

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ponte Preta travel to face Criciuma on Friday 30 October in the Serie B, with Estadio Heriberto Hülse the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Criciuma are 4th, among the top four, on 62 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Criciuma, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sport Recife, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ponte Preta, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortaleza EC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Criciuma, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Ponte Preta.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Ponte Preta 1–2 Criciuma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Criciuma 1.9 xG, Ponte Preta 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Criciuma 74%, draw 15%, Ponte Preta 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Criciuma 1–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Criciuma74%fair 1.34 · @1.08
Draw15%fair 6.81 · @10.00
Ponte Preta11%fair 9.25 · @29.00
2.33Expected goals
1.87Criciuma xG
0.46Ponte Preta xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–017%
3–011%
0–010%
1–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Criciuma 1.9 – 0.5 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCriciuma to win ✓74%1.341.08
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.821.44
Draw no betCriciuma (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapCriciuma -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreCriciuma to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultCriciuma ahead at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Criciuma / FT Criciuma ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.48–

Recent results

Criciuma – last 6

LWWLWW
24 Oct@ Sport Recife1–2L
18 Oct@ São Bernardo1–0W
12 Octvs America Mineiro1–0W
8 Oct@ Ceara0–1L
3 Oct@ Londrina2–0W
27 Sepvs Avai3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ponte Preta – last 6

DDLLLL
24 Octvs Fortaleza EC2–2D
16 Octvs Atletico Goianiense1–1D
12 Oct@ Novorizontino1–5L
7 Octvs Juventude0–2L
3 Oct@ Cuiaba0–2L
29 Sep@ Botafogo SP0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jul 2026Ponte Preta v Criciuma1–2
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

On our numbers Criciuma have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ponte Preta 11%.

How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

Our predicted score is Criciuma 1–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.