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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cuiaba v São Bernardo: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba

LLLDW
1–2
FT
Cuiaba 61%Draw 24%São Bernardo 16% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.60
61%
Betarazi pick

Cuiaba to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultCuiaba to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceCuiaba or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07

Cuiaba vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cuiaba welcome São Bernardo to Arena Pantanal for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 1 November (22:30 WAT). In the table, Cuiaba are 13th, lower half, on 47 points after 37 matches; São Bernardo are 11th (lower half) with 52.

Current form

Cuiaba, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to America Mineiro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

São Bernardo, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vila Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours São Bernardo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Cuiaba.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended São Bernardo 2–2 Cuiaba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cuiaba 1.5 xG, São Bernardo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cuiaba 61%, draw 24%, São Bernardo 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cuiaba or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cuiaba to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuiaba 1–0 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cuiaba61%fair 1.65 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
São Bernardo16%fair 6.42 · @4.60
2.11Expected goals
1.51Cuiaba xG
0.60São Bernardo xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.5 – 0.6 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCuiaba to win ✗61%1.651.73 ▲
Double chanceCuiaba or draw ✗84%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.981.95
Draw no betCuiaba (draw no bet) ✗80%1.26–
Asian handicapSão Bernardo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreCuiaba to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.07–

Recent results

Cuiaba – last 6

LLLDWL
26 Oct@ America Mineiro0–1L
20 Oct@ Londrina0–1L
11 Octvs Avai0–1L
8 Oct@ Vila Nova0–0D
3 Octvs Ponte Preta2–0W
27 Sep@ CRB0–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

São Bernardo – last 6

WLDLWD
24 Octvs Vila Nova3–2W
18 Octvs Criciuma0–1L
11 Oct@ Juventude2–2D
6 Oct@ Sport Recife1–2L
2 Octvs CRB3–1W
25 Sep@ Novorizontino0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026São Bernardo v Cuiaba2–2
Cuiaba vs São Bernardo head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

Our pick is Cuiaba to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

On our numbers Cuiaba have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and São Bernardo 16%.

How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–0 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

Cuiaba vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.