Value bet: Avai to win @ 3.50 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAvai to win ✗39% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.00
Nautico Recife vs Avai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Nautico Recife v Avai in the Serie B. In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Avai are 17th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Nautico Recife, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Juventude, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Avai, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Botafogo SP, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Avai 2–0 Nautico Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.2 xG, Avai 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 39%, draw 23%, Avai 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Avai to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–1 Avai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nautico Recife39%fair 2.59 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Avai39%fair 2.59 · @3.50
2.33Expected goals
1.16Nautico Recife xG
1.17Avai xG
57%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.2 – 1.2 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Avai?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Avai?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avai 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Avai?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Avai?
Nautico Recife vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
