Value bet: Pyunik Yerevan to win @ 3.95 – our chance 30% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✓43% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the Premier League brings Ararat-Armenia against Pyunik Yerevan at Football Academy Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ararat-Armenia are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 12 matches; Pyunik Yerevan are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ararat-Armenia, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Noah, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pyunik Yerevan, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Urartu, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pyunik Yerevan, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Ararat-Armenia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ararat-Armenia 1.2 xG, Pyunik Yerevan 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ararat-Armenia 43%, draw 27%, Pyunik Yerevan 30%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Pyunik Yerevan to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ararat-Armenia 1–1 Pyunik Yerevan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ararat-Armenia43%fair 2.31 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.20
Pyunik Yerevan30%fair 3.34 · @3.95
2.48Expected goals
1.23Ararat-Armenia xG
1.25Pyunik Yerevan xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 1.2 – 1.3 Pyunik Yerevan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win✓
43%
2.31
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.91
Draw no bet
Ararat-Armenia (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Ararat-Armenia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pyunik Yerevan to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pyunik Yerevan / FT Pyunik Yerevan✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
DWLDWD
29 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Shirak
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Shirak
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Van
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pyunik Yerevan – last 6
WWDWWW
23 Apr
vs FC Urartu
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Shirak
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ FC Noah
2–2
D
21 Mar
@ Alashkert
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Alashkert
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Shirak
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat-Armenia and Pyunik Yerevan.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pyunik Yerevan 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 1–1 Pyunik Yerevan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
