Value bet: Shirak to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShirak to win ✗42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Shirak vs BKMA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Thursday 16 April: Shirak v BKMA in the Premier League, played at Gyumri City Stadium. In the table, Shirak are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; BKMA are 11th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shirak, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with BKMA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
BKMA, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shirak, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended BKMA 0–0 Shirak.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shirak 1.5 xG, BKMA 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shirak 42%, draw 25%, BKMA 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Shirak to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shirak 1–1 BKMA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shirak42%fair 2.39 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
BKMA33%fair 3.05 · @2.40
2.59Expected goals
1.49Shirak xG
1.10BKMA xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shirak 1.5 – 1.1 BKMA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shirak vs BKMA?
On our numbers Shirak have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and BKMA 33%.
How many goals will there be in Shirak vs BKMA?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shirak vs BKMA?
Our predicted score is Shirak 1–1 BKMA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shirak vs BKMA?
Shirak vs BKMA (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyumri City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
