Value bet: Alashkert to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultArarat-Armenia to win39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.77
Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Alashkert v Ararat-Armenia in the Premier League, played at Alashkert Stadium. In the table, Alashkert are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Ararat-Armenia are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alashkert 1.4 xG, Ararat-Armenia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alashkert 36%, draw 25%, Ararat-Armenia 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Alashkert to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alashkert 1–1 Ararat-Armenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alashkert36%fair 2.78 · @3.25
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.35
Ararat-Armenia39%fair 2.55 · @2.05
2.70Expected goals
1.42Alashkert xG
1.28Ararat-Armenia xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Alashkert 1.4 – 1.3 Ararat-Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win
39%
2.55
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Ararat-Armenia (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Ararat-Armenia +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Alashkert to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alashkert / FT Alashkert
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.77
–
Recent results
Alashkert – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ararat-Armenia – last 1
W
4 Mar
vs Shirak
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alashkert and Ararat-Armenia.
What is the prediction for Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia?
On our numbers Alashkert have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ararat-Armenia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our predicted score is Alashkert 1–1 Ararat-Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia?
Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alashkert Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
