Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Boavista SC to win @ 2.78 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoavista SC to win ✗40% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22
Madureira vs Boavista SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 13 February: Madureira v Boavista SC in the Carioca 1, played at Estádio Conselheiro Galvão.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Madureira 0.9 xG, Boavista SC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Madureira 32%, draw 29%, Boavista SC 40%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Boavista SC to win @2.78 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Madureira 1–1 Boavista SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Madureira32%fair 3.15 · @2.66
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.84
Boavista SC40%fair 2.53 · @2.78
2.17Expected goals
0.92Madureira xG
1.24Boavista SC xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Madureira 0.9 – 1.2 Boavista SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boavista SC to win✗
40%
2.53
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Draw no bet
Boavista SC (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Madureira +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Boavista SC to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boavista SC / FT Boavista SC✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.22
–
Recent results
Madureira
No recent results on record.
Boavista SC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madureira and Boavista SC.
What is the prediction for Madureira vs Boavista SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Madureira vs Boavista SC?
On our numbers Madureira have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Boavista SC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Madureira vs Boavista SC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madureira vs Boavista SC?
Our predicted score is Madureira 1–1 Boavista SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Madureira vs Boavista SC?
Madureira vs Boavista SC (Carioca 1) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Conselheiro Galvão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estádio Conselheiro Galvão
