Value bet: Fard Alborz to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFard Alborz to win ✗35% · @3.40
Double chanceFard Alborz or draw ✗69% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.49
Havadar vs Fard Alborz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Havadar v Fard Alborz in the Azadegan League, played at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium. In the table, Havadar are 16th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 9 matches; Fard Alborz are 3rd (among the top four) with 17. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Havadar 0.7 xG, Fard Alborz 0.9 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Havadar 31%, draw 33%, Fard Alborz 35%.
Lower-risk option: Fard Alborz or draw (69%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Fard Alborz to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Havadar 0–0 Fard Alborz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Havadar31%fair 3.19 · @2.50
Draw33%fair 2.99 · @2.40
Fard Alborz35%fair 2.85 · @3.40
1.55Expected goals
0.69Havadar xG
0.86Fard Alborz xG
37%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–021%
0–118%
1–015%
1–113%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Havadar 0.7 – 0.9 Fard Alborz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fard Alborz to win✗
35%
2.85
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Fard Alborz or draw✗
69%
1.46
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
–
Draw no bet
Fard Alborz (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Havadar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Fard Alborz to score first✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.49
–
Recent results
Havadar – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Shahrdari Noshahr
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fard Alborz – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Havadar and Fard Alborz.
What is the prediction for Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
On our numbers Havadar have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Fard Alborz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
Our predicted score is Havadar 0–0 Fard Alborz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
Havadar vs Fard Alborz (Azadegan League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nassaji Mazandaran3