Value bet: Fard Alborz to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFard Alborz to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.61
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shahrdari Noshahr welcome Fard Alborz for a Azadegan League fixture on Thursday 14 May (14:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shahrdari Noshahr 0.7 xG, Fard Alborz 1.0 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shahrdari Noshahr 30%, draw 30%, Fard Alborz 41%.
Price worth noting: Fard Alborz to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shahrdari Noshahr 0–1 Fard Alborz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shahrdari Noshahr30%fair 3.34 · @2.60
Draw30%fair 3.39 · @2.75
Fard Alborz41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
1.75Expected goals
0.72Shahrdari Noshahr xG
1.02Fard Alborz xG
39%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Shahrdari Noshahr 0.7 – 1.0 Fard Alborz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fard Alborz to win✗
41%
2.47
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Fard Alborz (draw no bet)
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Shahrdari Noshahr +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Fard Alborz to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.61
–
Recent results
Shahrdari Noshahr – last 2
LD
21 Feb
@ Naft Gachsaran
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Havadar
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fard Alborz – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Havadar
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shahrdari Noshahr and Fard Alborz.
What is the prediction for Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
On our numbers Shahrdari Noshahr have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Fard Alborz 41%.
How many goals will there be in Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
Our predicted score is Shahrdari Noshahr 0–1 Fard Alborz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz (Azadegan League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damash Gilanian0