Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nova Iguaçu travel to face Sampaio Corrêa RJ on Tuesday 24 February in the Carioca 1, with Estadio Lourival Gomes the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.3 xG, Nova Iguaçu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sampaio Corrêa RJ 38%, draw 30%, Nova Iguaçu 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–1 Nova Iguaçu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sampaio Corrêa RJ38%fair 2.65 · @2.58
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.95
Nova Iguaçu33%fair 3.06 · @2.76
2.41Expected goals
1.28Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
1.12Nova Iguaçu xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.3 – 1.1 Nova Iguaçu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win✗
38%
2.65
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Sampaio Corrêa RJ (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Nova Iguaçu +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampaio Corrêa RJ / FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Portuguesa RJ
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nova Iguaçu – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs CFRJ Maricá
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Nova Iguaçu.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
On our numbers Sampaio Corrêa RJ have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Nova Iguaçu 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–1 Nova Iguaçu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu (Carioca 1) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lourival Gomes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estadio Lourival Gomes
