Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Nasr to win ✓52% · @1.77
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw ✓77% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Al Nasr vs Sur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sur travel to face Al Nasr on Sunday 15 February in the Professional League – the ball rolls at 15:50 WAT. In the table, Al Nasr are 3rd, among the top four, on 12 points after 6 matches; Sur are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasr 1.6 xG, Sur 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasr 52%, draw 25%, Sur 23%.
Lower-risk option: Al Nasr or draw (77%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasr 1–1 Sur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Nasr52%fair 1.91 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.20
Sur23%fair 4.36 · @4.50
2.77Expected goals
1.64Al Nasr xG
1.13Sur xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 1.6 – 1.1 Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Nasr to win✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Double chance
Al Nasr or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Al Nasr (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Sur +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Al Nasr to score first✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Nasr / FT Al Nasr✓
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Al Nasr
No recent results on record.
Sur
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Nasr and Sur.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Sur?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sur 23%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Sur?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Sur?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 1–1 Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Sur?
Al Nasr vs Sur (Professional League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:50 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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