Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultATK Mohun Bagan to win ✓64% · @1.30
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chennaiyin travel to face ATK Mohun Bagan on Monday 23 February in the Indian Super League, with Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st, leading the league, on 12 points after 5 matches; Chennaiyin are 8th (lower half) with 5.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ATK Mohun Bagan 1.6 xG, Chennaiyin 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ATK Mohun Bagan 64%, draw 21%, Chennaiyin 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Chennaiyin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ATK Mohun Bagan64%fair 1.55 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.80
Chennaiyin14%fair 7.00 · @8.40
2.28Expected goals
1.64ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.65Chennaiyin xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 1.6 – 0.6 Chennaiyin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win✓
64%
1.55
1.30
Double chance
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
ATK Mohun Bagan (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
ATK Mohun Bagan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
ATK Mohun Bagan to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Kerala Blasters
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Chennaiyin – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Mumbai City
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ATK Mohun Bagan and Chennaiyin.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chennaiyin 14%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Chennaiyin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin (Indian Super League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
