Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–09% · fair 11.00
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mohammedan travel to face ATK Mohun Bagan on Saturday 28 February in the Indian Super League, with Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ATK Mohun Bagan 2.0 xG, Mohammedan 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ATK Mohun Bagan 73%, draw 17%, Mohammedan 10%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Mohammedan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ATK Mohun Bagan73%fair 1.36 · @1.08
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @7.25
Mohammedan10%fair 10.34 · @26.00
2.67Expected goals
1.99ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.68Mohammedan xG
48%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 2.0 – 0.7 Mohammedan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win
73%
1.36
1.08
Double chance
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.42
Draw no bet
ATK Mohun Bagan (draw no bet)
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
ATK Mohun Bagan -0.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.38 ▲
First team to score
ATK Mohun Bagan to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
ATK Mohun Bagan ahead at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 2
WW
23 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kerala Blasters
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mohammedan – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Goa
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Jamshedpur
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ATK Mohun Bagan and Mohammedan.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Mohammedan 10%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Mohammedan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan (Indian Super League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
