ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 20 March: ATK Mohun Bagan v Mumbai City in the Indian Super League, played at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan. In the table, ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st, leading the league, on 12 points after 5 matches; Mumbai City are 12th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
ATK Mohun Bagan, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Odisha, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Mumbai City, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Inter Kashi, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ATK Mohun Bagan, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Mumbai City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ATK Mohun Bagan 1.8 xG, Mumbai City 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ATK Mohun Bagan 61%, draw 25%, Mumbai City 15%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ATK Mohun Bagan 2–0 Mumbai City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ATK Mohun Bagan61%fair 1.65 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.90
Mumbai City15%fair 6.76 · @5.25
2.62Expected goals
1.81ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.81Mumbai City xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 1.8 – 0.8 Mumbai City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Double chance
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
ATK Mohun Bagan (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
ATK Mohun Bagan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
ATK Mohun Bagan to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
ATK Mohun Bagan ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 3
WWW
6 Mar
vs Odisha
5–1
W
23 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kerala Blasters
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mumbai City – last 5
WDDWW
15 Mar
@ Inter Kashi
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs SC Delhi
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs NorthEast United
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Kerala Blasters
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ATK Mohun Bagan and Mumbai City.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mumbai City 15%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 2–0 Mumbai City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City (Indian Super League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
