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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chennaiyin v Mohammedan: numbers & prediction

Indian Super League · India · Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
0–0
FT
Chennaiyin 59%Draw 22%Mohammedan 19% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.09
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultChennaiyin to win ✗59% · @1.30
Double chanceChennaiyin or draw ✓81% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Chennaiyin vs Mohammedan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mohammedan travel to face Chennaiyin on Tuesday 21 April in the Indian Super League, with Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Chennaiyin, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SC Delhi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Mohammedan, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Odisha, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chennaiyin, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Mohammedan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chennaiyin 1.7 xG, Mohammedan 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chennaiyin 59%, draw 22%, Mohammedan 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chennaiyin 1–1 Mohammedan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chennaiyin59%fair 1.69 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @5.00
Mohammedan19%fair 5.26 · @7.40
2.83Expected goals
1.74Chennaiyin xG
1.09Mohammedan xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Chennaiyin 1.7 – 1.1 Mohammedan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChennaiyin to win ✗59%1.691.30
Double chanceChennaiyin or draw ✓81%1.231.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.70
Draw no betChennaiyin (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapMohammedan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.601.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.25
First team to scoreChennaiyin to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chennaiyin / FT Chennaiyin ✗32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Chennaiyin – last 6

WLDDLL
17 Aprvs SC Delhi1–0W
7 Aprvs Inter Kashi1–2L
22 Marvs Goa1–1D
1 Mar@ Odisha1–1D
23 Feb@ ATK Mohun Bagan0–2L
19 Feb@ Mumbai City0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mohammedan – last 6

DLLLLL
17 Apr@ Odisha1–1D
12 Apr@ Inter Kashi0–1L
3 Apr@ Minerva Punjab1–2L
23 Mar@ East Bengal II0–7L
7 Marvs Bengaluru1–2L
20 Febvs Goa0–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chennaiyin and Mohammedan.

Chennaiyin vs Mohammedan head-to-head page →

Indian Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ATK Mohun Bagan5401+312
2NorthEast United5320+611
3Bengaluru4310+410
4SC Delhi5212+27
5Minerva Punjab4211+17
6East Bengal II3201+66
7Goa412105
8Chennaiyin5122-15
9Kerala Blasters4121-15
10Churchill Brothers4103-63
11Odisha4022-22
12Mumbai City4022-22
13Inter Kashi5014-101

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chennaiyin vs Mohammedan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Chennaiyin vs Mohammedan?

On our numbers Chennaiyin have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mohammedan 19%.

How many goals will there be in Chennaiyin vs Mohammedan?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chennaiyin vs Mohammedan?

Our predicted score is Chennaiyin 1–1 Mohammedan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chennaiyin vs Mohammedan?

Chennaiyin vs Mohammedan (Indian Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.