Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultATK Mohun Bagan to win ✗52% · @1.85
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the Indian Super League brings Goa against ATK Mohun Bagan at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Goa are 7th, upper half, on 5 points after 4 matches; ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st (leading the league) with 12.
Current form
Goa, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jamshedpur, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
ATK Mohun Bagan, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jamshedpur, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ATK Mohun Bagan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Goa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goa 0.9 xG, ATK Mohun Bagan 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goa 21%, draw 27%, ATK Mohun Bagan 52%.
Lower-risk option: ATK Mohun Bagan or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ATK Mohun Bagan or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goa 0–1 ATK Mohun Bagan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goa21%fair 4.77 · @3.95
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.30
ATK Mohun Bagan52%fair 1.93 · @1.85
2.38Expected goals
0.90Goa xG
1.47ATK Mohun Bagan xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Goa 0.9 – 1.5 ATK Mohun Bagan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Double chance
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Draw no bet
ATK Mohun Bagan (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Goa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
ATK Mohun Bagan to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Goa – last 6
LWWDDD
1 May
@ Jamshedpur
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ NorthEast United
2–0
W
10 Apr
vs Odisha
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Chennaiyin
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Minerva Punjab
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ East Bengal II
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 5
DLWWW
4 Apr
@ Jamshedpur
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Mumbai City
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Odisha
5–1
W
23 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kerala Blasters
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goa and ATK Mohun Bagan.
What is the prediction for Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Our pick is ATK Mohun Bagan or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
On our numbers Goa have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 27% and ATK Mohun Bagan 52%.
How many goals will there be in Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Our predicted score is Goa 0–1 ATK Mohun Bagan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan (Indian Super League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jamshedpur0