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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

US Monastirienne v ES Zarzis: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet
US Monastirienne 54%Draw 29%ES Zarzis 17% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.69
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultUS Monastirienne to win ✓54% · @1.80
Double chanceUS Monastirienne or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.68

US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

ES Zarzis travel to face US Monastirienne on Sunday 15 February in the Ligue 1, with Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give US Monastirienne 1.3 xG, ES Zarzis 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – US Monastirienne 54%, draw 29%, ES Zarzis 17%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Monastirienne 1–0 ES Zarzis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

US Monastirienne54%fair 1.85 · @1.80
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @2.95
ES Zarzis17%fair 5.88 · @4.80
2.03Expected goals
1.35US Monastirienne xG
0.69ES Zarzis xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–013%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: US Monastirienne 1.3 – 0.7 ES Zarzis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUS Monastirienne to win ✓54%1.851.80
Double chanceUS Monastirienne or draw ✓83%1.211.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.831.44
Draw no betUS Monastirienne (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapES Zarzis +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.711.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.481.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreUS Monastirienne to score first ✓58%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne ✓31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.68–

Recent results

US Monastirienne

No recent results on record.

ES Zarzis

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between US Monastirienne and ES Zarzis.

US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis?

On our numbers US Monastirienne have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 29% and ES Zarzis 17%.

How many goals will there be in US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis?

Our predicted score is US Monastirienne 1–0 ES Zarzis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis?

US Monastirienne vs ES Zarzis (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.