Novo Hamburgo 38%Draw 25%Sao Jose 37%Expected goals 0.98 – 0.95
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sao Jose to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovo Hamburgo to win ✓38% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 15.16
Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Gaúcho 1 brings Novo Hamburgo against Sao Jose at Estadio do Vale. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novo Hamburgo 1.0 xG, Sao Jose 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novo Hamburgo 38%, draw 25%, Sao Jose 37%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Sao Jose to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novo Hamburgo 0–0 Sao Jose. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novo Hamburgo38%fair 2.61 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.88
Sao Jose37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
1.92Expected goals
0.98Novo Hamburgo xG
0.95Sao Jose xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Novo Hamburgo 1.0 – 0.9 Sao Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novo Hamburgo to win✓
38%
2.61
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Novo Hamburgo (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Sao Jose +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Novo Hamburgo to score first
43%
2.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
15.16
–
Recent results
Novo Hamburgo
No recent results on record.
Sao Jose
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novo Hamburgo and Sao Jose.
What is the prediction for Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
On our numbers Novo Hamburgo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sao Jose 37%.
How many goals will there be in Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
Our predicted score is Novo Hamburgo 0–0 Sao Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Vale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gaúcho 1 · Brazil · Estadio do Vale
Gremio1
Juventude1