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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventud v Central Espanol: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Artigas
Juventud 37%Draw 28%Central Espanol 34% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.98
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.47 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.47Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Juventud vs Central Espanol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Juventud v Central Espanol in the Primera División Apertura, played at Parque Artigas. In the table, Juventud are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Central Espanol are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Juventud, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club Guarani, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.3 xG, Central Espanol 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 37%, draw 28%, Central Espanol 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.47). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–1 Central Espanol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventud37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
Central Espanol34%fair 2.91 · @2.35
2.28Expected goals
1.30Juventud xG
0.98Central Espanol xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Juventud 1.3 – 1.0 Central Espanol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

JuventudCentral Espanol
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-18%-31%
Goals conceded vs average-8%+24%
Our expected goals here1.300.68

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✗37%2.682.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.34
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.832.05 ▲
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapCentral Espanol +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.551.47
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.04
First team to scoreJuventud to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.82–

Recent results

Juventud – last 3

DDW
19 Febvs Club Guarani0–0D
17 Feb@ Atletico Torque2–2D
13 Feb@ Universidad Catolica4–3W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Central Espanol – last 1

W
16 Febvs Penarol2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juventud and Central Espanol.

Juventud vs Central Espanol head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventud vs Central Espanol?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.

Who will win Juventud vs Central Espanol?

On our numbers Juventud have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Central Espanol 34%.

How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Central Espanol?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Central Espanol?

Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Central Espanol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Juventud vs Central Espanol?

Juventud vs Central Espanol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Artigas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.