Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓50% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Atletico Torque vs Defensor Sporting: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Torque welcome Defensor Sporting to Estadio Centenario for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Friday 27 February (00:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Defensor Sporting are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.9 xG, Defensor Sporting 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 50%, draw 23%, Defensor Sporting 26%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–1 Defensor Sporting. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Torque50%fair 1.99 · @2.08
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.20
Defensor Sporting26%fair 3.80 · @3.35
2.99Expected goals
1.87Atletico Torque xG
1.12Defensor Sporting xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.9 – 1.1 Defensor Sporting expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+43%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+25%
Our expected goals here
2.29
1.09
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✓
50%
1.99
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Atletico Torque (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Defensor Sporting +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Atletico Torque to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Atletico Torque ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Atletico Torque – last 2
WD
22 Feb
@ Wanderers
4–0
W
17 Feb
vs Juventud
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Defensor Sporting – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Liverpool Montevideo
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Defensor Sporting.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Defensor Sporting?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Defensor Sporting?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Defensor Sporting 26%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Defensor Sporting?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Defensor Sporting?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–1 Defensor Sporting, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Defensor Sporting?
Atletico Torque vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
