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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Deportivo Maldonado 54%Draw 28%Juventud 18% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.80
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓54% · @1.74
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.85

Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 3 March the Primera División Apertura brings Deportivo Maldonado against Juventud at Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Maldonado are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Juventud are 8th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Juventud, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Club Guarani, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maldonado 1.6 xG, Juventud 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maldonado 54%, draw 28%, Juventud 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Maldonado or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Maldonado54%fair 1.85 · @1.74
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.25
Juventud18%fair 5.56 · @4.80
2.37Expected goals
1.57Deportivo Maldonado xG
0.80Juventud xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.6 – 0.8 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Deportivo MaldonadoJuventud
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average+14%-18%
Goals conceded vs average-23%-8%
Our expected goals here1.350.68

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓54%1.851.74
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo Maldonado (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapJuventud +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreDeportivo Maldonado to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado ✓34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.85–

Recent results

Deportivo Maldonado – last 1

L
23 Feb@ Penarol1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 5

WLDDW
26 Feb@ Club Guarani2–1W
22 Febvs Central Espanol0–1L
19 Febvs Club Guarani0–0D
17 Feb@ Atletico Torque2–2D
13 Feb@ Universidad Catolica4–3W
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maldonado and Juventud.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Juventud 18%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.