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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cibao v Moca: numbers & prediction

Liga Mayor · Dominican-Republic
1–0
FT
Cibao 55%Draw 27%Moca 18% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.78
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultCibao to win ✓55% · @1.57
Double chanceCibao or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.51

Cibao vs Moca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Liga Mayor brings Cibao against Moca. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Cibao are 2nd, among the top four, on 27 points after 14 matches; Moca are 4th (among the top four) with 20.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cibao 1.5 xG, Moca 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cibao 55%, draw 27%, Moca 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cibao 1–0 Moca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cibao55%fair 1.81 · @1.57
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.50
Moca18%fair 5.60 · @5.25
2.28Expected goals
1.50Cibao xG
0.78Moca xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Cibao 1.5 – 0.8 Moca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCibao to win ✓55%1.811.57
Double chanceCibao or draw ✓82%1.221.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.75–
Draw no betCibao (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapMoca +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreCibao to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cibao / FT Cibao ✓33%3.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.51–

Recent results

Cibao – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Delfines Del Este1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Moca – last 1

L
15 Febvs Salcedo0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cibao and Moca.

Cibao vs Moca head-to-head page →

Liga Mayor table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salcedo141121+1735
2Cibao14833+1627
3Vega Real14635+621
4Moca14644+320
5Universidad O&M14635+519
6Delfines Del Este14455017
7Jarabacoa142210-165
8Atlántico141211-313

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cibao vs Moca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Cibao vs Moca?

On our numbers Cibao have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Moca 18%.

How many goals will there be in Cibao vs Moca?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cibao vs Moca?

Our predicted score is Cibao 1–0 Moca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Cibao vs Moca?

Cibao vs Moca (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.