Value bet: Narva U21 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 47% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNarva U21 to win ✓47% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the Esiliiga B brings Narva U21 against Tallinna Kalev II. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Narva U21 are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Narva U21 2.3 xG, Tallinna Kalev II 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Narva U21 47%, draw 20%, Tallinna Kalev II 33%.
Price worth noting: Narva U21 to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Narva U21 2–1 Tallinna Kalev II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Narva U2147%fair 2.11 · @2.90
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.75
Tallinna Kalev II33%fair 3.04 · @2.00
3.72Expected goals
2.33Narva U21 xG
1.39Tallinna Kalev II xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Narva U21 2.3 – 1.4 Tallinna Kalev II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Narva U21 to win✓
47%
2.11
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Narva U21 (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Tallinna Kalev II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
First team to score
Narva U21 to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Narva U21 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Narva U21 / FT Narva U21✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Narva U21 – last 2
LW
28 Mar
@ Johvi Phoenix
2–4
L
22 Mar
vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5–0
W
3.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tallinna Kalev II – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Maardu
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Narva U21 and Tallinna Kalev II.
What is the prediction for Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?
On our numbers Narva U21 have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tallinna Kalev II 33%.
How many goals will there be in Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?
Our predicted score is Narva U21 2–1 Tallinna Kalev II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
