Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Narva U21 vs Luunja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Luunja travel to face Narva U21 on Thursday 23 April in the Esiliiga B – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Narva U21 are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 36 matches; Luunja are 4th (among the top four) with 62. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Narva U21, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tulevik, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Luunja, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tartu Kalev, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Narva U21 2.2 xG, Luunja 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Narva U21 56%, draw 19%, Luunja 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Narva U21 2–1 Luunja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Narva U2156%fair 1.80 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.50
Luunja26%fair 3.88 · @3.25
3.55Expected goals
2.16Narva U21 xG
1.40Luunja xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Narva U21 2.2 – 1.4 Luunja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Narva U21 to win✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Narva U21 (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Luunja +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
First team to score
Narva U21 to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Narva U21 ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Narva U21 / FT Narva U21✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Narva U21 – last 5
WWWLW
19 Apr
@ Tulevik
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Levadia U19
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev II
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Johvi Phoenix
2–4
L
22 Mar
vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Luunja – last 5
LWWWW
19 Apr
vs Tartu Kalev
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Legion
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Johvi Phoenix
6–1
W
15 Mar
vs JK Tabasalu
4–3
W
10 Mar
vs Levadia U19
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Narva U21 and Luunja.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Narva U21 vs Luunja?
On our numbers Narva U21 have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Luunja 26%.
How many goals will there be in Narva U21 vs Luunja?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Narva U21 vs Luunja?
Our predicted score is Narva U21 2–1 Luunja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Narva U21 vs Luunja?
Narva U21 vs Luunja (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.