Tartu Kalev 45%Draw 18%Johvi Phoenix 38%Expected goals 2.40 – 2.09
82%
Betarazi pick
Either team to win
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
1
Value bet: Tartu Kalev to win @ 2.90 – our chance 45% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTartu Kalev to win ✓45% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.83
Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Tartu Kalev v Johvi Phoenix in the Esiliiga B.
Current form
Tartu Kalev, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to JK Tabasalu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Johvi Phoenix, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Levadia U19, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Johvi Phoenix 4–3 Tartu Kalev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Kalev 2.4 xG, Johvi Phoenix 2.1 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 82% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Kalev 45%, draw 18%, Johvi Phoenix 38%.
Price worth noting: Tartu Kalev to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Kalev 2–1 Johvi Phoenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Kalev45%fair 2.25 · @2.90
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.33
Johvi Phoenix38%fair 2.66 · @1.85
4.49Expected goals
2.40Tartu Kalev xG
2.09Johvi Phoenix xG
64%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
3–26%
1–16%
3–15%
From our goals model: Tartu Kalev 2.4 – 2.1 Johvi Phoenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 82% chance.
Who will win Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
On our numbers Tartu Kalev have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Johvi Phoenix 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
Our predicted score is Tartu Kalev 2–1 Johvi Phoenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
