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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Narva U21 v Parnu JK Vaprus U21: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga B · Estonia
4–1
FT
Narva U21 60%Draw 18%Parnu JK Vaprus U21 22% Expected goals 2.54 – 1.55
60%
Betarazi pick

Narva U21 to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultNarva U21 to win ✓60% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93

Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 travel to face Narva U21 on Sunday 19 July in the Esiliiga B – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Narva U21 are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 36 matches; Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 6th (lower half) with 53. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Narva U21, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luunja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Johvi Phoenix, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Parnu JK Vaprus U21 4–0 Narva U21. The last 2 head-to-heads: Narva U21 1 win, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Narva U21 2.5 xG, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 1.5 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Narva U21 60%, draw 18%, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Narva U21 to win (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Narva U21 2–1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Narva U2160%fair 1.67 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.75
Parnu JK Vaprus U2122%fair 4.48 · @4.00
4.09Expected goals
2.54Narva U21 xG
1.55Parnu JK Vaprus U21 xG
57%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
3–25%
2–05%

From our goals model: Narva U21 2.5 – 1.5 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNarva U21 to win ✓60%1.671.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betNarva U21 (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapParnu JK Vaprus U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80%1.251.12
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
First team to scoreNarva U21 to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultNarva U21 ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Narva U21 / FT Narva U21 ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.93–

Recent results

Narva U21 – last 6

LWWWWD
12 Jul@ Luunja1–2L
5 Julvs Tulevik2–1W
22 Jun@ Tallinna Kalev II3–2W
18 Junvs Tartu Kalev3–2W
31 Mayvs JK Tabasalu5–0W
28 Mayvs Johvi Phoenix1–1D
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 – last 6

LWWDWL
12 Jul@ Johvi Phoenix2–4L
5 Jul@ JK Tabasalu8–2W
22 Jun@ Legion4–1W
19 Junvs Tallinna Kalev II2–2D
15 Junvs Levadia U194–2W
1 Jun@ Luunja2–3L
3.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Parnu JK Vaprus U21 v Narva U214–0
22 Mar 2026Narva U21 v Parnu JK Vaprus U215–0
Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 head-to-head page →

Esiliiga B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Narva U21362448+3976
2Levadia U193622311+2869
3Phoenix3620313+863
4Luunja3619512+2762
5Tulevik3617514+1456
6Parnu JK Vaprus U213616515+3153
7Tartu Kalev3616218+950
8JK Tabasalu3611520-3938
9Tallinna Kalev II369621-2033
10Legion365427-9719

More Esiliiga B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

Our pick is Narva U21 to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

On our numbers Narva U21 have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 22%.

How many goals will there be in Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

Our predicted score is Narva U21 2–1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.