Value bet: Tartu Kalev to win @ 3.90 – our chance 45% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTartu Kalev to win ✓45% · @3.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tartu Kalev welcome JK Tabasalu for a Esiliiga B fixture on Saturday 1 August (14:00 WAT). In the table, Tartu Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 50 points after 36 matches; JK Tabasalu are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tartu Kalev, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Kuusalu Kalev, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 4.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
JK Tabasalu, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tamper, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Tartu Kalev, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for JK Tabasalu.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended JK Tabasalu 3–1 Tartu Kalev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Kalev 2.4 xG, JK Tabasalu 1.7 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Kalev 45%, draw 17%, JK Tabasalu 38%.
Price worth noting: Tartu Kalev to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Kalev 2–1 JK Tabasalu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Kalev45%fair 2.23 · @3.90
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @4.75
JK Tabasalu38%fair 2.64 · @1.53
4.10Expected goals
2.35Tartu Kalev xG
1.75JK Tabasalu xG
61%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
2–27%
1–17%
3–16%
1–26%
3–25%
From our goals model: Tartu Kalev 2.4 – 1.7 JK Tabasalu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
On our numbers Tartu Kalev have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 17% and JK Tabasalu 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
Our predicted score is Tartu Kalev 2–1 JK Tabasalu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
