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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JK Tabasalu v Luunja: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga B · Estonia
3–2
FT

Luunja

LLLDD
JK Tabasalu 24%Draw 14%Luunja 63% Expected goals 1.61 – 2.69
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLuunja to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.65

JK Tabasalu vs Luunja: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the Esiliiga B brings JK Tabasalu against Luunja. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, JK Tabasalu are 8th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Luunja are 4th (among the top four) with 62. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

JK Tabasalu, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Narva U21, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Luunja, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Levadia U19, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Luunja, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for JK Tabasalu.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jun 2026) it ended Luunja 1–3 JK Tabasalu. The last 2 head-to-heads: JK Tabasalu 1 win, Luunja 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JK Tabasalu 1.6 xG, Luunja 2.7 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JK Tabasalu 24%, draw 14%, Luunja 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: JK Tabasalu 1–2 Luunja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JK Tabasalu24%fair 4.20 · @4.00
Draw14%fair 7.37 · @5.00
Luunja63%fair 1.60 · @1.50
4.30Expected goals
1.61JK Tabasalu xG
2.69Luunja xG
59%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%

From our goals model: JK Tabasalu 1.6 – 2.7 Luunja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuunja to win ✗63%1.601.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.69–
Draw no betLuunja (draw no bet) ✗72%1.38–
Asian handicapLuunja -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
First team to scoreLuunja to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultLuunja ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luunja / FT Luunja ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.65–

Recent results

JK Tabasalu – last 6

LLDDLL
29 Aug@ Narva U210–4L
24 Aug@ Parnu JK Vaprus U210–6L
20 Aug@ Johvi Phoenix2–2D
16 Augvs Tallinna Kalev II1–1D
9 Aug@ Levadia U190–3L
1 Aug@ Tartu Kalev1–3L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Luunja – last 6

LLLDDW
31 Augvs Levadia U192–5L
23 Augvs Johvi Phoenix2–3L
20 Aug@ Tartu Kalev1–2L
10 Augvs Parnu JK Vaprus U212–2D
1 Aug@ Tulevik0–0D
20 Julvs Tallinna Kalev II5–4W
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jun 2026Luunja v JK Tabasalu1–3
15 Mar 2026Luunja v JK Tabasalu4–3
JK Tabasalu vs Luunja head-to-head page →

Esiliiga B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Narva U21362448+3976
2Levadia U193622311+2869
3Phoenix3620313+863
4Luunja3619512+2762
5Tulevik3617514+1456
6Parnu JK Vaprus U213616515+3153
7Tartu Kalev3616218+950
8JK Tabasalu3611520-3938
9Tallinna Kalev II369621-2033
10Legion365427-9719

More Esiliiga B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JK Tabasalu vs Luunja?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win JK Tabasalu vs Luunja?

On our numbers JK Tabasalu have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Luunja 63%.

How many goals will there be in JK Tabasalu vs Luunja?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JK Tabasalu vs Luunja?

Our predicted score is JK Tabasalu 1–2 Luunja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is JK Tabasalu vs Luunja?

JK Tabasalu vs Luunja (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.