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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Legion v Tartu Kalev: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga B · Estonia

Legion

LLLDL
1–2
FT
Legion 13%Draw 18%Tartu Kalev 69% Expected goals 1.41 – 3.05
69%
Betarazi pick

Tartu Kalev to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultTartu Kalev to win ✓69% · @1.25
Double chanceTartu Kalev or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.98

Legion vs Tartu Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tartu Kalev travel to face Legion on Thursday 10 September in the Esiliiga B – the ball rolls at 15:45 WAT. In the table, Legion are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Tartu Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 50. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Legion, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tulevik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tartu Kalev, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Narva U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tartu Kalev, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Legion.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Tartu Kalev 10–2 Legion. The last 2 head-to-heads: Legion 0 wins, Tartu Kalev 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 9.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Legion 1.4 xG, Tartu Kalev 3.0 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Legion 13%, draw 18%, Tartu Kalev 69%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tartu Kalev to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legion 1–3 Tartu Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Legion13%fair 7.65 · @7.50
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @5.50
Tartu Kalev69%fair 1.46 · @1.25
4.46Expected goals
1.41Legion xG
3.05Tartu Kalev xG
57%Both score
82%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–38%
1–28%
1–46%
0–35%
2–35%
0–25%

From our goals model: Legion 1.4 – 3.0 Tartu Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTartu Kalev to win ✓69%1.461.25
Double chanceTartu Kalev or draw ✓87%1.15–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.77–
Draw no betTartu Kalev (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapTartu Kalev -1 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
First team to scoreTartu Kalev to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultTartu Kalev ahead at half-time ✓54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tartu Kalev / FT Tartu Kalev ✓48%2.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%12.98–

Recent results

Legion – last 6

LLLDLL
5 Sep@ Tulevik0–3L
30 Augvs Parnu JK Vaprus U211–5L
24 Aug@ Levadia U190–1L
21 Aug@ Tallinna Kalev II3–3D
9 Augvs Narva U211–3L
1 Augvs Johvi Phoenix0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tartu Kalev – last 6

LWDWWL
6 Sepvs Narva U210–1L
29 Aug@ Johvi Phoenix3–0W
25 Augvs Tallinna Kalev II1–1D
20 Augvs Luunja2–1W
15 Augvs Parnu JK Vaprus U211–0W
11 Aug@ Tallinna Kalev0–8L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Tartu Kalev v Legion10–2
24 May 2026Legion v Tartu Kalev0–6
Legion vs Tartu Kalev head-to-head page →

Esiliiga B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Narva U21362448+3976
2Levadia U193622311+2869
3Phoenix3620313+863
4Luunja3619512+2762
5Tulevik3617514+1456
6Parnu JK Vaprus U213616515+3153
7Tartu Kalev3616218+950
8JK Tabasalu3611520-3938
9Tallinna Kalev II369621-2033
10Legion365427-9719

More Esiliiga B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Legion vs Tartu Kalev?

Our pick is Tartu Kalev to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Legion vs Tartu Kalev?

On our numbers Legion have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tartu Kalev 69%.

How many goals will there be in Legion vs Tartu Kalev?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Legion vs Tartu Kalev?

Our predicted score is Legion 1–3 Tartu Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Legion vs Tartu Kalev?

Legion vs Tartu Kalev (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.