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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 v Tartu Kalev: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga B · Estonia
0–4
FT
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 57%Draw 17%Tartu Kalev 26% Expected goals 2.60 – 1.73
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultParnu JK Vaprus U21 to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.01

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Esiliiga B brings Parnu JK Vaprus U21 against Tartu Kalev. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 6th, lower half, on 53 points after 36 matches; Tartu Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 50. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Parnu JK Vaprus U21, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Johvi Phoenix, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.

Tartu Kalev, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Legion, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Tartu Kalev 1–0 Parnu JK Vaprus U21. The last 2 head-to-heads: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 1 win, Tartu Kalev 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2.6 xG, Tartu Kalev 1.7 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Parnu JK Vaprus U21 57%, draw 17%, Tartu Kalev 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2–1 Tartu Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Parnu JK Vaprus U2157%fair 1.75 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @4.33
Tartu Kalev26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
4.34Expected goals
2.60Parnu JK Vaprus U21 xG
1.73Tartu Kalev xG
59%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%

From our goals model: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2.6 – 1.7 Tartu Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParnu JK Vaprus U21 to win ✗57%1.751.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.69–
Draw no betParnu JK Vaprus U21 (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapTartu Kalev +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
First team to scoreParnu JK Vaprus U21 to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultParnu JK Vaprus U21 ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Parnu JK Vaprus U21 / FT Parnu JK Vaprus U21 ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.01–

Recent results

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 – last 6

LWWWDL
10 Sepvs Johvi Phoenix2–3L
6 Sepvs Tallinna Kalev II7–0W
30 Aug@ Legion5–1W
24 Augvs JK Tabasalu6–0W
20 Augvs Tulevik2–2D
15 Aug@ Tartu Kalev0–1L
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tartu Kalev – last 6

WLWDWW
10 Sep@ Legion2–1W
6 Sepvs Narva U210–1L
29 Aug@ Johvi Phoenix3–0W
25 Augvs Tallinna Kalev II1–1D
20 Augvs Luunja2–1W
15 Augvs Parnu JK Vaprus U211–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Tartu Kalev v Parnu JK Vaprus U211–0
10 May 2026Tartu Kalev v Parnu JK Vaprus U211–2
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev head-to-head page →

Esiliiga B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Narva U21362448+3976
2Levadia U193622311+2869
3Phoenix3620313+863
4Luunja3619512+2762
5Tulevik3617514+1456
6Parnu JK Vaprus U213616515+3153
7Tartu Kalev3616218+950
8JK Tabasalu3611520-3938
9Tallinna Kalev II369621-2033
10Legion365427-9719

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev?

On our numbers Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tartu Kalev 26%.

How many goals will there be in Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev?

Our predicted score is Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2–1 Tartu Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev?

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tartu Kalev (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.