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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tallinna Kalev II v Narva U21: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga B · Estonia
1–2
FT
Tallinna Kalev II 14%Draw 17%Narva U21 69% Expected goals 1.25 – 2.77
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultNarva U21 to win ✓69% · @1.30
Double chanceNarva U21 or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.61

Tallinna Kalev II vs Narva U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Tallinna Kalev II v Narva U21 in the Esiliiga B. In the table, Tallinna Kalev II are 9th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 36 matches; Narva U21 are 1st (leading the league) with 76. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tallinna Kalev II, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Johvi Phoenix, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Narva U21, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Luunja, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Narva U21, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Tallinna Kalev II.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Narva U21 5–0 Tallinna Kalev II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Tallinna Kalev II 0 wins, Narva U21 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev II 1.3 xG, Narva U21 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev II 14%, draw 17%, Narva U21 69%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev II 1–2 Narva U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tallinna Kalev II14%fair 6.96 · @6.00
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @5.25
Narva U2169%fair 1.46 · @1.30
4.02Expected goals
1.25Tallinna Kalev II xG
2.77Narva U21 xG
54%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–36%
1–16%
1–46%

From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev II 1.3 – 2.8 Narva U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNarva U21 to win ✓69%1.461.30
Double chanceNarva U21 or draw ✓86%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betNarva U21 (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapNarva U21 -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
First team to scoreNarva U21 to score first68%1.48–
Half-time resultNarva U21 ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Narva U21 / FT Narva U21 ✗47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.61–

Recent results

Tallinna Kalev II – last 6

LWLWDD
14 Sep@ Johvi Phoenix3–4L
11 Sepvs JK Tabasalu4–1W
6 Sep@ Parnu JK Vaprus U210–7L
30 Augvs Tulevik2–1W
25 Aug@ Tartu Kalev1–1D
21 Augvs Legion3–3D
2.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Narva U21 – last 6

WWWWDL
15 Sepvs Luunja1–0W
11 Sepvs Levadia U191–0W
6 Sep@ Tartu Kalev1–0W
29 Augvs JK Tabasalu4–0W
23 Aug@ Tulevik3–3D
19 Aug@ Levadia U190–1L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Narva U21 v Tallinna Kalev II5–0
22 Jun 2026Tallinna Kalev II v Narva U212–3
4 Apr 2026Narva U21 v Tallinna Kalev II3–1
Tallinna Kalev II vs Narva U21 head-to-head page →

Esiliiga B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Narva U21362448+3976
2Levadia U193622311+2869
3Phoenix3620313+863
4Luunja3619512+2762
5Tulevik3617514+1456
6Parnu JK Vaprus U213616515+3153
7Tartu Kalev3616218+950
8JK Tabasalu3611520-3938
9Tallinna Kalev II369621-2033
10Legion365427-9719

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev II vs Narva U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Tallinna Kalev II vs Narva U21?

On our numbers Tallinna Kalev II have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Narva U21 69%.

How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev II vs Narva U21?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev II vs Narva U21?

Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev II 1–2 Narva U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Tallinna Kalev II vs Narva U21?

Tallinna Kalev II vs Narva U21 (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.