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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tallinna Kalev II v Parnu JK Vaprus U21: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga B · Estonia
Tallinna Kalev II 35%Draw 18%Parnu JK Vaprus U21 47% Expected goals 2.27 – 2.62
82%
Betarazi pick

Either team to win

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultParnu JK Vaprus U21 to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 17.06

Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 travel to face Tallinna Kalev II on Sunday 11 October in the Esiliiga B – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Tallinna Kalev II are 9th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 36 matches; Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 6th (lower half) with 53. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tallinna Kalev II, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tulevik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 12–0 win over Legion, at home. Scoring is no problem – 5.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Parnu JK Vaprus U21, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Tallinna Kalev II.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Parnu JK Vaprus U21 7–0 Tallinna Kalev II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Tallinna Kalev II 0 wins, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev II 2.3 xG, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2.6 xG – a total near 4.9. That is an open game on paper: 87% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev II 35%, draw 18%, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Either team to win (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev II 1–2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tallinna Kalev II35%fair 2.88 · @2.30
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.00
Parnu JK Vaprus U2147%fair 2.12 · @2.20
4.89Expected goals
2.27Tallinna Kalev II xG
2.62Parnu JK Vaprus U21 xG
62%Both score
87%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
1–26%
2–36%
1–35%
2–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev II 2.3 – 2.6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParnu JK Vaprus U21 to win ✗47%2.122.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.22–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.61–
Draw no betParnu JK Vaprus U21 (draw no bet)58%1.74–
Asian handicapTallinna Kalev II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓96%1.05–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗87%1.16–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
First team to scoreParnu JK Vaprus U21 to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultParnu JK Vaprus U21 ahead at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Parnu JK Vaprus U21 / FT Parnu JK Vaprus U21 ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6%17.06–

Recent results

Tallinna Kalev II – last 6

WLLWLW
3 Oct@ Tulevik3–1W
19 Sepvs Narva U211–2L
14 Sep@ Johvi Phoenix3–4L
11 Sepvs JK Tabasalu4–1W
6 Sep@ Parnu JK Vaprus U210–7L
30 Augvs Tulevik2–1W
2.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 – last 6

WLLWWW
18 Sepvs Legion12–0W
13 Sepvs Tartu Kalev0–4L
10 Sepvs Johvi Phoenix2–3L
6 Sepvs Tallinna Kalev II7–0W
30 Aug@ Legion5–1W
24 Augvs JK Tabasalu6–0W
5.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Parnu JK Vaprus U21 v Tallinna Kalev II7–0
19 Jun 2026Parnu JK Vaprus U21 v Tallinna Kalev II2–2
28 Apr 2026Tallinna Kalev II v Parnu JK Vaprus U212–3
Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 head-to-head page →

Esiliiga B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Narva U21362448+3976
2Levadia U193622311+2869
3Phoenix3620313+863
4Luunja3619512+2762
5Tulevik3617514+1456
6Parnu JK Vaprus U213616515+3153
7Tartu Kalev3616218+950
8JK Tabasalu3611520-3938
9Tallinna Kalev II369621-2033
10Legion365427-9719

More Esiliiga B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 82% chance.

Who will win Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

On our numbers Tallinna Kalev II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 47%.

How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev II 1–2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.

When is Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?

Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.