South Melbourne 59%Draw 22%Hume City 19%Expected goals 1.91 – 1.12
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✗59% · @1.55
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✗81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
South Melbourne vs Hume City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hume City travel to face South Melbourne on Thursday 19 February in the Victoria NPL, with Lakeside Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 1.9 xG, Hume City 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 59%, draw 22%, Hume City 19%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 1–1 Hume City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Melbourne59%fair 1.70 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.80
Hume City19%fair 5.21 · @5.20
3.03Expected goals
1.91South Melbourne xG
1.12Hume City xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.9 – 1.1 Hume City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
South Melbourne (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Hume City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
South Melbourne to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
South Melbourne ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
South Melbourne – last 1
W
14 Feb
@ Avondale
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Hume City – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Altona Magic
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Hume City.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Hume City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Hume City?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hume City 19%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Hume City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Hume City?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–1 Hume City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Hume City?
South Melbourne vs Hume City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Lakeside Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Lakeside Stadium
