Value bet: Sunshine Georgies to win @ 4.00 – our chance 30% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGreen Gully to win ✗46% · @1.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Green Gully vs Sunshine Georgies: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Green Gully welcome Sunshine Georgies to Green Gully Reserve for a Victoria NPL fixture on Friday 20 February (09:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Green Gully 1.3 xG, Sunshine Georgies 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Green Gully 46%, draw 24%, Sunshine Georgies 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.63.
Price worth noting: Sunshine Georgies to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.46 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Green Gully 1–1 Sunshine Georgies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Green Gully46%fair 2.17 · @1.72
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.80
Sunshine Georgies30%fair 3.39 · @4.00
2.43Expected goals
1.26Green Gully xG
1.18Sunshine Georgies xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Green Gully 1.3 – 1.2 Sunshine Georgies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Green Gully to win✗
46%
2.17
1.72
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.63
Draw no bet
Green Gully (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Sunshine Georgies +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.46
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.17
First team to score
Green Gully to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Green Gully / FT Green Gully✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Green Gully – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Heidelberg United
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sunshine Georgies – last 1
D
14 Feb
vs Bentleigh Greens
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Green Gully and Sunshine Georgies.
What is the prediction for Green Gully vs Sunshine Georgies?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Green Gully vs Sunshine Georgies?
On our numbers Green Gully have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sunshine Georgies 30%.
How many goals will there be in Green Gully vs Sunshine Georgies?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Green Gully vs Sunshine Georgies?
Our predicted score is Green Gully 1–1 Sunshine Georgies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Green Gully vs Sunshine Georgies?
Green Gully vs Sunshine Georgies (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Green Gully Reserve.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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