Value bet: Heidelberg United to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHeidelberg United to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceHeidelberg United or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dandenong Thunder welcome Heidelberg United to George Andrews Reserve for a Victoria NPL fixture on Saturday 21 February (09:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dandenong Thunder 0.9 xG, Heidelberg United 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dandenong Thunder 16%, draw 22%, Heidelberg United 61%.
Lower-risk option: Heidelberg United or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Heidelberg United to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dandenong Thunder 0–2 Heidelberg United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dandenong Thunder16%fair 6.12 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
Heidelberg United61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
2.88Expected goals
0.89Dandenong Thunder xG
2.00Heidelberg United xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Dandenong Thunder 0.9 – 2.0 Heidelberg United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heidelberg United to win✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Heidelberg United or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Draw no bet
Heidelberg United (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Heidelberg United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Heidelberg United to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Heidelberg United ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heidelberg United / FT Heidelberg United✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Dandenong Thunder – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Heidelberg United – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Green Gully
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dandenong Thunder and Heidelberg United.
What is the prediction for Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United?
On our numbers Dandenong Thunder have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Heidelberg United 61%.
How many goals will there be in Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United?
Our predicted score is Dandenong Thunder 0–2 Heidelberg United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United?
Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at George Andrews Reserve.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · George Andrews Reserve
