Green Gully 35%Draw 23%Hume City 42%Expected goals 1.39 – 1.74
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Hume City to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHume City to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Green Gully vs Hume City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Green Gully welcome Hume City to Green Gully Reserve for a Victoria NPL fixture on Friday 6 March (09:30 WAT).
Current form
Green Gully, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Avondale, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Hume City, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bentleigh Greens, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hume City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Green Gully.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Green Gully 1.4 xG, Hume City 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Green Gully 35%, draw 23%, Hume City 42%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Hume City to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Green Gully 1–1 Hume City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Green Gully35%fair 2.88 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.50
Hume City42%fair 2.37 · @2.90
3.14Expected goals
1.39Green Gully xG
1.74Hume City xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Green Gully 1.4 – 1.7 Hume City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hume City to win✗
42%
2.37
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Hume City (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Green Gully +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Hume City to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hume City / FT Hume City✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Green Gully – last 3
LLL
28 Feb
@ Avondale
0–5
L
20 Feb
vs Sunshine Georgies
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Heidelberg United
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hume City – last 3
WWL
28 Feb
vs Bentleigh Greens
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ South Melbourne
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Altona Magic
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Green Gully and Hume City.
What is the prediction for Green Gully vs Hume City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Green Gully vs Hume City?
On our numbers Green Gully have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hume City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Green Gully vs Hume City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Green Gully vs Hume City?
Our predicted score is Green Gully 1–1 Hume City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Green Gully vs Hume City?
Green Gully vs Hume City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Green Gully Reserve.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Green Gully Reserve
Dandenong City0
Sunshine Georgies0